Wednesday, April 12, 2006

Attorney General Race

42 percent undecided.


But expect to hear folks make a lot of noise about the most recent Saint Norbert College Attorney General's race poll results.

(You'll also note press some press accounts list me as a consultant for JB Van Hollen, I'm excited to say that's true and will have more on that later.)

While some campaigns may go to extraordinary measures to try to smugly (and pathetically) twist the poll results, the fact that over 40 percent remain undecided means this race is far from settled At best, among registered voters, Paul Bucher has a whopping 16 to 7 percent lead in the Primary. That's it. No matter how the poll is dissected, shaped or spun, that's it.

Frankly, we expected someone with such a so called 'strong base is Southeast Wisconsin' would have had a more significant head start at this early point in the race. And I guess they thought the same, as their over heated rhetoric suggests they are getting desperate over there, trying to spin the internal mechanics of our operation into something that suits their needs. They've publicly lied and said JB’s campaign is broke (even though Van Hollen raised more money last year than Bucher did). We’ve added to our ability to continue out performing our primary opponent in fundraising by elevating Phil Prange, Tommy Thompson's chief fundraiser to our full time consultant (Mary Stitt had been splitting time between Van Hollen and Green and will now be focusing her attentions solely on Green now that the Governor's race Primary is 'done;' while Prange will focus on Van Hollen as the only statewide race on his plate this year.)

While we won't let false accusations go unanswered, nothing is more boring and politically stupid than a tit-for-tat between campaign supporters--especially in a Republican Primary. While it may make for interesting copy, and Xoff and company will eat it up, Lord knows the party doesn't need that.

I'm proud to say that JB has focused his attention on the two Democrats, one of whom will be his real opponent in November. You can find out more about that here and here.

This race is about who is the best choice to end more than a decade of Democrat mismanagement at the Wisconsin Department of Justice.

So, I'll just share with you part of a statement I, as a spokesman for the Van Hollen campaign, released to the AP as they were preparing their article on the poll.

Response to St. Norbert Poll

"We've been saying all along we're the candidate in the best position to win the Primary and General election and nothing in this poll indicates otherwise.

"Such a huge undecided vote, coupled with being five months away from the Primary means the infrastructure of a campaign is that much more important, and Bucher can't match Van Hollen's operation.

"JB Van Hollen has the superior experience, the integrity and the temperament to fight crime as Wisconsin's top cop."

Money:

"According to the most recent campaign finance reports on file with the State Elections Board, excluding loans to the campaigns, Van Hollen raised $208,885 in 2005 while his opponent raised $193,716.

Organization:

"JB has the conservative base of the party, its infrastructure, men and women, young and old on his side.

"Folks like Jim Klauser, Margaret Farrow, Mike Grebe are with JB Van Hollen because they respect JB, his track record and his agenda to fight crime and restore integrity. They know JB Van Hollen can and will win in November.

"We have the endorsements from individuals who put their name on the line, this matters in an AG race.

  • 28 county district attorneys to Bucher's 15
    (according to Bucher's website)
  • 18 county sheriffs to Bucher's 3
  • and JB has the support of dozens more
    Republican state legislators than does his opponent

Grassroots

"In the largest survey of Republican Party of Wisconsin faithful to date, the 2005 WisPolitics straw poll conducted at the state convention, Van Hollen rolled over his primary opponent by a vote of 84-15%

"JB Van Hollen
has built the stronger campaign and will win because he has the superior experience, the integrity and the temperament to win the primary and then end 16
years of Democrat mismanagement of the Department of Justice."

Paid for by Van Hollen for Attorney General, Margaret Farrow, Treasurer.

13 Comments:

At 10:57 AM, Anonymous said...

Sorry...anyone that has Margaret Farrow on their side, I have to immediately think twice about supporting.

Are you seriously holding her up as some sort of sign that JB has the conservative base? Uh, no.

 
At 11:33 AM, Anonymous said...

I like the fact JB has really cut into Bucher's base in Waukesha County and Southeast Wisconsin. That's why, in my opinion, the Grebe, Farrow and Klauser endorsements are so key.

Those three endorsed Green and were part of the reason Walker was having fundraising problems, even his geographic base wasn't solidly behind Walker. Same for Bucher.

As for conservatives, looks like he has plenty of DAs and Sherrifs and conservative legislators in tow.

Boy the Bucher folks' tone has been nasty. I understand it's a campaign but their perspective is just unsavory, I think it reflects badly on their candidate.

 
At 4:08 PM, Anonymous said...

Bucher is the only candidate being a complete prick to the 80 percent of GOP voters who, like me, haven't made up their minds, or are backing Van Hollen

Van Hollen, by the way, was a good enough prosecutor to be chosen US Attorney by a Republican President I respect.

 
At 4:26 PM, Anonymous said...

Bucher is the clear choice for AG. He is a real Leader.

 
At 4:31 PM, Anonymous said...

For years, Bucher has put the word out that the two jobs he covets are U.S. attorney and attorney general, in that order.

http://www2.jsonline.com/news/metro/may01/spicecol03050201a.asp

I agree being a DA is useful experience. Before being selected by the President to rise to the post of US Attorney, Van Hollen was a DA. Just because it didn't take him 20 years to advance, doesn't mean the man didn't show leadership.

It is evident from the article noted here that U.S. Attorney was prestigious enough for Mr. Bucher to covet it even more than the post he's running for now.

By the way, I know Waukesha is a very very large county. I live here.

 
At 4:38 PM, Simon Blue said...

Now that all of the "anonymous" consultants (who are working for either Van Hollen or Bucher) have weighed in, I just want to say that I don't think there is a clear front runner on the GOP side. However, what alarmed me most about the poll is that Peg Lautenschlager still beats Van Hollen or Bucher fairly significantly. That's just insane. Considering that she was arrested and convicted of drunk driving, you would think that Wisconsin voters would be anxious to toss her out. I'm starting to lose hope on this race and Wisconsin voters in general. Van Hollen and Bucher have to do more to make the case for change.

 
At 4:38 PM, Simon Blue said...

This post has been removed by the author.

 
At 5:04 PM, Anonymous said...

Yeah, Bucher all the way. He is not afraid to stand up for what is right.
He also has done a great job dealing with the Drunk Driving, MAD (Mothers against Drunk Driving.)

Bucher all the Way.

 
At 5:14 PM, Anonymous said...

We need somebody who will lead the department of Justice in the right direction. Bucher seems like the guy to do it.

 
At 5:30 PM, Jay Bullock said...

At first I was confised about the 42% undecided, and then I realized you weren't looking at the best part of the poll:

• In match-ups between Democratic and Republican candidates, the Democrats both are significantly ahead of the Republican challengers.
--Lautenschlager leads Bucher 40% to 27% and Van Hollen 40% to 23%.
--Falk is ahead of Bucher 35% to 25% (this is within the error margin), and leads Van Hollen 37% to 21%.


I guess you have your priorities, I have mine . . .

 
At 7:26 PM, dohnal said...

Someone tell me when the St. Norbert's poll has been accurate?

 
At 11:16 PM, Jessica McBride said...

When it predicted Kerry would win Wisconsin over Bush, for one.

A poll done by the St. Norbert College Survey Center, however, gives Kerry a small lead in hotly contested Wisconsin.

http://www2.jsonline.com/news/state/apr04/226062.asp

 
At 3:36 PM, Anonymous said...

JB is an empty suit who trades on his connections. He has really never done anything. Can anyone name a big case he won as DA? Sure he was US Attorney, but the long standing prosecutors and staff in the office did the work, not JB.

 

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