Republicans Will Retain Majority
Chuck Todd of the National Journal claims Democrats have a real shot at reclaiming the U.S. Senate in 2006. (story)
Oh, those silly prognosticators. They continue to tread where the landscape is their own quicksand.
It was an eye-opener for me while running campaigns for the National Republican Senatorial Committee to see how little most voters care about their U.S. Senate races. From Maine to Colorado, Senate races are less about traditional grassroots and in-state coalitions, and more about traditional vote history and broad themes. And fundraising. Mostly fundraising that buys GRPs.
The Bush Landslide of 2004 carried 31 states. Kerry, 19. If every Bush state had 2 Republican senators and every Kerry state had 2 Democrat senators, the math totals a 62-38 edge for Republicans.
Actual composition is 55 Republican, 44 Democrat, and Jeffords, who serves as proof voters care less about their senators than their governors and mayors.
Of the 55 GOP senators, only 9 serve in Kerry states. However, of the 44 Democrat senators, 16 serve in Bush states. I refuse to use the Blue-Red categories, since only a liberal nut would assign the Communist red color to Republican states. Vote history within those states weighs in favor Republicans.
Tom Daschle’s defeat last year was just the beginning. Bush carried North Dakota by 27 points and South Dakota by 22 points. Sooner than later, Democrats Dorgan, Conrad and Johnson will be swept out in their states’ GOP rip tide.
And West Virginia Democrat Robert Byrd, who sadly, may benefit from his past KKK membership, will hand the Republicans another seat once he and his white robes are placed in a Wilkesboro museum.
Remember, it was House Speaker Tip O’Neil, not Senate Majority Leader Mike Mansfield, who said all politics is local. For U.S. Senate races, the only thing local is traditional voting behavior.
1 Comments:
The “Bush landslide of 2004”!!!! Hmm, I guess that’s why the guy has all that political capital he’s splashing around today. If you want to know what the Bush landslide is worth 7 months out of the chute, go to Google News, type the two words “bush” and “polls” in the search box, hit the button, and read any of the articles that pop up that strike your fancy. If you want to read about the next “Bush landslide”, type the words “bush” and “schiavo” in the box, and read about what a piece of work brother Jeb is.
The reason the Bush Regime is in power is because most “liberal” Democratic are as odious to vote for as “conservative” Republicans. Both parties equally suppress the moderates within their ranks, and discourage anyone who doesn’t espouse one of their respective brands of extremism. Regardless of which party is in, the mutts are running the kennel and most of us voters are sleeping with the fleas. There are two principal reasons why the Republicans are at the helm of the ship of state now; 1). Because they’ve made the ultra rich so supercalifragilistically wealthy that they can buy and sell the rest of us and our votes like gerbils at PetsMart; and 2). Because at the local level they’ve got the small but almost psychotically inflammable and confrontationally religious sect of Jethros for the Jesus of the Old Testament, organized into a 21st Century equivalent of the 1930’s German Brownshirts. The Democratic Party has its own ample supply of schemers and nutbags and sugar daddies, so we’ll see them in ascendancy again for a while, not too far down the road, but that’s nothing for anybody to crow about
Post a Comment
<< Home